According to news reports, closely held NPC International – a major Pizza Hut franchisee – is getting ever closer to breaching a key financial covenant after reporting IIQ 2019 results.
“Total debt rose to 6.9 times a measure of earnings, just below the threshold that would trigger a default under the company’s revolver, according to a person with knowledge of the matter. The ratio stood at around 6.3 times in the first quarter”.
The only BDC with exposure – both first lien and second lien – is Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF). Total cost is $14.2mn. There’s $1.2mn of income at risk should NPC file for bankruptcy. We placed the company on the under-performing list from the first quarter of 2019, when the second lien debt was written down by (13%). The second quarter discount is (39%) and the current market price is discounted (57%). Judging by the challenges facing the industry; the trend of the valuation and the latest market price, chances of a further downgrade – currently CCR 4 – to CCR 5 (non accrual) is high.