The Wall Street Journal reports on October 9 that defense contractor Constellis Holdings “has engaged PJT Partners Inc. to engineer a plan for restructuring the company’s debt-laden balance sheet, according to people familiar with the matter“. PJT Parners is an investment bank, often used in turnaround work.
Otherwise, the WSJ article has no new information, except a recap of some of the highlights from the most recent financial filings. Some of that data is admittedly dire. We noticed that even after a recent asset sale – the subject of our last post about Constellis – “the company’s liquidity remained tight, amounting to just $33 million of cash and $18 million of availability on a revolving credit facility as of June 30“. That alone should send chills down the spines of anyone concerned about the company.
Anyway, the advent of a restructuring firm and those slim liquidity numbers suggests a day of reckoning is coming – and fast.
We discussed BDC exposure before when we first added Constellis to the under-performing list back in August. Judging by the current market valuations (source: Advantage Data) of the three different loans outstanding in which BDC lenders are involved, the debt is discounted from (8%) to (70%), higher than in June. Thankfully, 90% of of BDC exposure is in the 2022 Term Loan, which is valued the highest even after the news of a prospective restructure. Nonetheless, at current levels – and things could get much worse – potential ultimate realized losses could reach $20mn on the $109mn invested at cost, most of which has not been recognized even on an unrealized basis as of June 2019. Not to mention the loss of investment income, which we’ve previously pegged at $9mn annually.
Unfortunately Constellis has the possibility of being one of the biggest credit hotspots of the fourth quarter (if that’s when the rubber meets the road) for the BDC sector. The prospective damage will be widespread. There are 4 FS-KKR related non-listed funds with $90mn at cost lent to Constellis. OFS Capital (OFS) and Garrison Capital (GARS) and – to a lesser degree – two non-listed BDCs are also exposed.