On October 23, 2019 Seeking Alpha author Henrik Alex wrote an article about McDermott International entitled: “The ‘One McDermott Way’ Might Still End In Bankruptcy Court“. The article lays out in useful detail the various options available to the company and the obstacles faced in taking advantage of the supposed “financial lifeline” offered by certain secured lenders. Any one interested in the subject will find the article helpful. For our own earliest posts about McDermott, click here.
Mr Alex’s conclusion is as follows:
Even after Monday’s bridge loan announcement, the much-touted “One McDermott Way” might still end in bankruptcy court if the company fails to arrange a quick sale of the Lummus Technology business given the dealbraker requirement to exchange at least 95% of the company’s senior unsecured notes into new PIK notes. While secured lenders would likely waive a minor consent shortfall (e.g. 90%), I do not expect them to approve a material amount of holdouts. But even if the condition will be waived, McDermott will face a reduction in borrowing capacity and letters of credit.
Judging by this week’s trading pattern so far, both unsecured bond- and equityholders seem to have very little conviction in the company avoiding a bankruptcy filing and so do I.
That said, the company still has until January 31, 2020 to enter into a firm purchase agreement for Lummus Technology “in form and substance satisfactory to the Supermajority Lenders and the Administrative Agents” as required by the terms of the credit agreement.
Should McDermott indeed have to seek bankruptcy protection, common equityholders will almost certainly end up with nothing. Even unsecured noteholders might see very little or even no recovery as already implied by the very low trading price.
That conclusion largely coincides with our own thoughts, except that we are more skeptical about the chances of selling Lummus Technology, which has been for sale for some time. This validates our decision to add McDermott to our Bankruptcy Imminent list. Thankfully, BDC exposure is small: limited to two BDCs. Business Development Corporation of America has the biggest chunk: $9.8mn and Oaktree Strategic Income (OCSI) just $1.3mn.