We only initiated coverage on Le Tote three days ago. The virtual retailer which acquired Lord & Taylor was laying off its employees en masse as is the fashion at the moment in retail. Now, “people familiar with the matter” indicate the company with the French name and the unusual strategy (getting back into brick and mortar) is considering filing for Chapter 11. There are other alternatives, such as raising additional capital. Nine times out of ten, though, when bankruptcy is mentioned as an option, you can be pretty sure it’s the likely outcome.
This might mean a big loss – or even a complete loss – for the 3 BDCs involved. See our prior article for more of the details. The potential Biggest Loser would be Carlyle’s non-traded BDC TCG BDC II, with 75% of the exposure. Next is the public Carlyle BDC with the ticker CGBD with the remainder, as the Horizon Technology (HRZN) equity stake is non material.
We are downgrading Le Tote from CCR 3 to CCR 4 as a loss of some magnitude is now all but certain. We are also adding the company to our “Weakest Links” – those companies where a bankruptcy filing or restructuring seems imminent. They don’t last long on this list: https://airtable.com/shrwR1HMlezWPiUTH
If a Chapter 11 does occur, we will learn where the second lien lenders stand. Maybe the two Carlyle BDcs will end up with equity in a restructured Le Tote…