Once again we’re hearing what’s going on in the conference rooms of troubled companies through the anonymous whisperings of a “person familiar with the matter” to the Wall Street Journal. In this case, the word is that Serta Simmons Bedding is eschewing bankruptcy and seeking to negotiate an out-of-court restructuring of its huge debt load. The WSJ indicates some debt would be swapped for equity and new capital would be injected in some form that is not clear to the BDC Credit Reporter. Nothing is yet finalized so just consider this a rumor in progress.
We’ve written about Serta Simmons before – one of a series of bigger companies considered lower risk when the debt was first issued at pricing of LIBOR + 350 bps which have gotten into trouble. As we noted on April 22, 2020, we’ve rated Serta CCR 4, which indicates that we expect some sort of loss to eventually happen. This news story, although not definitive, confirms our prediction. So do market prices, with the 2025 Term Loan involved here trading at a (60%) discount at the moment, even higher than the (51%) discount at March 31, 2020 when the only BDC involved – Barings BDC (BBDC) last valued its position.
This latest news item does not move any credit rating needles but suggests the company and its lenders are – at least – getting close to an understanding. The news story also suggests the company – not unsurprisingly – seems to be in need of fresh liquidity, which always focuses deal doing. Not to get ahead of ourselves, though, the amount of debt that might be converted from debt to equity seems relatively modest and may leave Serta still on our underperforming list even if some consensus is reached.
For BBDC – as in many other positions – the exposure is modest in and of itself and should not result in any significant loss of capital or income whatever happens. This investment, though, falls squarely in what we’re calling the “First Wave” of defaults/restructurings because Simmons was facing business headwinds even before Covid-19 kept their customers out of the showrooms. We’ll circle back if and when we get beyond Deep Throat-like coat and dagger revelations and official terms are agreed. Or not.