On August 2, 2020 Tailored Brands – the parent of Men Wearhouse Inc. – filed Chapter 11. The BDC Credit Reporter has been writing about the troubled men’s clothes retailer since September 2019. In our most recent post on May 9, 2020 we predicted the company was likely to file for bankruptcy protection. In the last few days, the financial press has been abuzz with similar predictions. So, in two words: no surprise.
As per the new normal in leveraged lending, the company has agreed a restructuring plan with its senior lenders for a “debt to equity swap”, which will see $630mn of debt written off in return for a controlling interest in the business. In addition – and critically important from both a borrower and lender perspective because liquidity is tight and the future of all retail uncertain – the lenders are offering up $500mn in Debtor-In-Possession (“DIP”) financing. $400mn of that debt – unlike your bog standard DIP loan – will convert into longer term financing when the partly de-leveraged company exits bankruptcy. For more information, Tailored Brands has its own website on the subject.
Thankfully, BDC exposure – as we’ve noted previously – is modest, with only Barings BDC (BBDC) involved, with a $9.9mn position in the first lien debt and already written down by two-thirds. For a while income will be lost on the debt – we presume – to the tune of under ($0.35mn) a year. More importantly, the BDC will be booking in the IIIQ 2020 a Realized Loss of ($6mn-$7mn). Chances are high, though, that BBDC will be required to ante up for the DIP /long term financing. Along with the equity, BBDC will be tied to this men’s clothing business for many years to come. However, the amount at risk – even after their portion of the DIP is funded – should barely be material.
Nonetheless, this is a setback for a “first lien secured loan” that was thought of when first booked by BBDC in the IIIQ 2018 to be low risk, given the pricing was LIBOR + 325 bps. The likely recovery of one-third or less is also a reminder that sitting high on the capital structure is no guarantee in and of itself of low losses.
For our part, we’ve downgraded the company to CCR 5 (non performing) from CCR 4, and added the business to the Bankruptcies list we maintain, the first of August. The company has been removed from the Weakest Links list. We’ll circle back at the earlier of hearing from BBDC or learning more about whether the court approves the prepackaged restructuring plan. We expect to eventually upgrade Men’s Wearhouse when out of bankruptcy to CCR 3. That’s still on the underperforming list because the company will still be substantially leveraged and still in retail and still selling business wear when most everybody is wearing pajamas.
By the way, by our estimate, is still a First Wave bankruptcy: a company that was in deep trouble due to shifts in retail and consumer taste even before Covid-19. The business would have likely ended up in a similar place in the months ahead anyway even without the impact of the virus. The damage,though, to the company and to its lenders is that much worse because of what has been happening since March and the recovery therefrom that much more difficult.