Common stock shareholders were excited to hear that lenders to Sequential Brands had extended a waiver of loan defaults from May 10 to June 7, 2021. At the time – according to Seeking Alpha – the stock price jumped 30%. However, for the lenders to the troubled company this means no resolution has yet been found to troubles that date many months back. We’ve written about Sequential Brands seven times before, so we won’t rehash the whole backstory.
However, we’ll note that BDC exposure – in both debt and equity – to the company remains huge: $277.1mn at cost. The debt at March 31, 2021 has been discounted by (16%) and the equity by (100%). The BDC lenders are FS KKR Capital (FSK) and FS KKR Capital II (FSKR), as well as Apollo Investment (AINV). However, given that FSKR is to be merged into the outstandings can rightfully be allocated all to FSK. Over a quarter of a billion dollars is a Major exposure for the KKR-managed BDC. (AINV has invested $12.8mn at cost).
We have no idea how this is going to play out, although some sort of resolution must be the horizon. We retain a Trending rating for Sequential as chances are good valuations or income derived therefrom could change shortly. We’re also affirming our CCR 4 credit rating which suggests we believe some sort of realized loss will eventually occur. However, whether that will be a few tens of millions or hundreds of millions – an important distinction – remains unclear.