Maxus Carbon: IIIQ 2021 Update

We last updated what was happening at Maxus Carbon (aka Carbonfree Chemicals SPE) after Apollo Investment’s (AINV) IQ 2021 results. At the time, the BDC – which controls the alternative energy company – was promising better times ahead for this long standing investment that has fared poorly over the years.

We were in a “show me” frame of mind after seeing the debt at the company converted to equity and the $78mn invested at cost written down to a FMV of $25.4mn. Thankfully, matters do seem to have improved. As of the IIIQ 2021, Maxus Carbon’s FMV has increased to $45.2mn, or $19.8mn. (The cost is $78.2mn). For two quarters in a row the investment has been valued higher, suggesting more improvement might be in sight.

We even received a brief update about the business – in the broadest terms – on the most recent AINV CC:

…”our investment in carbon-free consists of an investment in the company’s proprietary carbon capture technologies and an investment in the company’s chemical plant. Carbon free is benefiting from strong interest in carbon capture, utilization and storage as part of broader ESG trends. We believe carbon-free is a leader in this space as evidenced by partnerships announced during the quarter, which demonstrate market acceptance for its technology

AINV Conference Call 11/4/2021

This is a closely-held investment and AINV does not offer much in the way of details and the public record is spotty. Nonetheless, there are reasons to be optimistic that AINV – one day – might find a way to dispose of this non-income producing investment. Even if sold at the latest FMV, the proceeds re-invested at 8.0% would generate a material $35mn plus in annual income.

We are retaining a CCR 4 rating on the company, but added the investment to the Trending list as AINV may increase the FMV in the IVQ 2021.