Sequential Brands: IIIQ 2021 Update

We’ve now written about Sequential brands twelve times ! Most of the time we’ve focused on FS KKR Capital’s (FSK) substantial exposure to the now bankrupt business. However, we’ve mentioned Apollo Investment (AINV_ which has also been a long time lender, but only in the second lien debt and for a much smaller amount than FSK. With the IIIQ 2021 AINV results, though, we see that the second lien debt was placed on non accrual. That was expected given the Chapter 11 filing.

What we didn’t know till AINV reported is that the BDC and FSK had advanced another $6.5mn and $133mn respectively to Sequential recently but with a maturity at the end of 2022 and in a first lien position. This is DIP financing presumably. That debt is valued at par and the discount on the second lien has been reduced to only (8%). Furthermore – and also both reassuring and expected since we heard the sale of Sequential was turning out well – FSK values its own exposure at or above par – even its non performing loan.

All this suggests that both FSK and AINV will extract themselves from the slow moving train wreck that has been Sequential Brands with nary a scratch. We rate the company CCR 5 because of the bankruptcy but do not expect any material loss for anyone at the end of the day. (The only exception remains $2.8mn of equity invested back in the day by FSK, which continues to have a value of zero). Sequential is rated as Trending given that the final settlement of the transaction could result in substantial changes in holdings and proceeds received. That may occur in the IVQ 2021 or IQ 2022 results of FSK and AINV.