With the publication of the IIQ 2019 valuations by 8 BDCs with $107mn in various forms of debt exposure (2022-2024 and both senior and second lien), we’ve added Constellis Holdings to our under-performers list with an initial rating of CCR 3 (Watch List). The debt has been discounted between (6%-30%) from 0% to (5%) in the prior quarter.
This is not surprising as there has been a massive number of changes in senior management in recent months and downgrades from both S&P and Moody’s in the spring, worried about high leverage; cash flow losses and operational challenges. For the BDC sector, this is very big exposure in aggregate, with annual income of approx. $9mn at risk should the company default down the road. With that said $90mn of the debt is held by the three FS-KKR non traded BDCs (FS II-III and IV), which are intending to go public under one banner before long. How Constellis plays out will be of above average interest at FS Investment-KKR in the quarters ahead.
On August 13, 2019 news reports indicate plus-size women’s clothes retailer Avenue Stores is about to close all its locations. Employees were reportedly told by conference call. Apparently, according to an article in Retail Dive “The New York Post reported earlier in August that Avenue had 60 days to find a buyer or it would have to shut down its 260 stores. (The company’s website currently says it has about 300 stores.) Sourcing Journal also reported the retailer planned to close some stores. In recent months, local media outlets have reported on individual closures. State filings last week confirmed more than 150 layoffs in New Jersey“.
The only BDC exposure through the IQ 2019 was from Goldman Sachs BDC (GSBD). The BDC has reported IIQ 2019 results already and there’s no Avenue Stores exposure listed. We don’t know if the BDC sold the investment at a loss or at par in the last few months.
We added a new Seeking Alpha article to the Prairie Provident Company File. The conclusions were not very encouraging, including the following:
The net debt to TTM adjusted funds flow ratio is very high at 14.6x. Also, due to the disastrous Q4, the company is about to breach its financial covenants.
Not good news for the only BDC with exposure: GSBD. However, the current value of the investment is so small – all in equity – as to be immaterial.